May 24, 2013

More on the Errors in Last Week’s Breakthrough Cloning Paper
To be clear, no one is suggesting that Shoukhrat Mitalipov’s group is guilty of fraud. But given that the paper was accepted for publication by the journal Cell within four days of being submitted, the incident is drawing attention to the errors that can occur when scientists and journals race to get exciting research findings into print. (Peter Aldhous, New Scientist)

Remembering—to Forget
The current research suggests that for a memory to be rewritten, it must first be dredged up and reactivated by its maker. (Melissa Healy, Los Angeles Times)

Evidence of Past Water on Mars
The venerable Mars rover Opportunity, the older and smaller cousin of Curiosity, has discovered another water-weathered rock hinting that the Red Planet could have supported life in its ancient past, NASA officials said. (Megan Gannon, Space.com)

Understanding Daniel Dennett
Julian Baggini: Daniel Dennett is in London from his native Massachusetts talking to me about his latest book, Intuition Pumps and Other Tools for Thinking. It’s a kind of greatest hits collection, pieced together from mainly previously published work to present both a summation of his central ideas about meaning, consciousness, evolution, and free will, and to share some of the philosophical tools he has used to craft them. (The Guardian)

Pope Francis Reaches Out to Atheists
Atheists should be seen as good people if they do good, Pope Francis said on Wednesday in his latest urging that people of all religions—or no religion—work together. The leader of the world’s 1.2 billion Roman Catholics made his comments in the homily of his morning Mass in his residence, a daily event where he speaks without prepared comments. (Philip Pullella, Reuters)

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May 23, 2013

Journal Investigating Breakthrough Cloning Paper
Eight years after South Korean stem cell scientists were exposed in one of the biggest scientific frauds ever, a paper claiming to have achieved work they faked is itself under investigation. (Jennifer Couzin-Frankel, ScienceInsider)

Can Compassion Training Increase Altruistic Behavior?
“Our findings support the possibility that compassion and altruism can be viewed as trainable skills rather than stable traits,” a research team led by Richard Davidson and Helen Weng of the University of Wisconsin-Madison writes in the journal Psychological Science. Specifically, they report that taking a course in compassion leads to increased engagement of certain neural systems, which prompts higher levels of altruistic behavior. (Tom Jacobs, Pacific Standard)

Smart Giving
Adam Grant: Intelligence and concern for others often go hand in hand. This doesn’t mean it’s wise to give away the farm. The key is to use our brainpower to make sure that our contributions to others don’t come at the expense of our own interests. (The Huffington Post)

If You’re Happy and Your Phone or Computer Knows It
What if these devices could really read our emotions? What if they could interpret every little gesture, every facial cue so that they can gauge our feelings as well as—maybe better than—our best friends? And then they respond, not with information, but what might pass for empathy. We’re not there yet, but we’re quickly moving in that direction, driven by a field of science known as affective computing. It’s built around software that can measure, interpret, and react to human feelings. (Randy Rieland, Innovations, Smithsonian)

More Baba Brinkman
In his next run, aptly titled Evolutionary Tales: A Hip Hop Theatre Cycle, Baba Brinkman will be playing a combination of his three previous works. These are: Ingenious Nature, The Rap Guide to Evolution, and The Canterbury Tales Remixed. (Carin Bondar, PsiVid, Scientific American)

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Expert Opinion

From Gregory Paul, an independent paleontologist and researcher who examines the relationship between religion and society:

In recent years, there has been lots of discussion and debate about whether atheism or theism is on the rise around the world. A good deal of the answer can be found in results from the International Social Survey Program. In its Religion II survey conducted in 1998 and Religion III survey sampled in 2008 and just released (why the ISSP is so tardy in releasing its results is obscure), the ISSP asked the same set of questions in 28 countries, allowing assessment of gross longitudinal trends over a decade (because their Religion 1 poll in 1991 asked different questions in far fewer countries, it is not very longitudinally useful).

% Don’t believe in God % Theists overall % No doubt God exists
1998           2008 1998          2008 1998           2008
Great Britain 9.6              17.7 46.2           36 22.5            16.8
Austria 6.8              9.3 51.3           40.8 32.4            20.8
Netherlands 17.2            19.8 44.2           36.7 26.4            21.1
Australia 10.2            15.6 52.2           43.5 28.6            25.1
Norway 11.7            17.7 42.5           37 18.4            15
Ireland 2.4              4 77.3           67.5 49.8            45.1
New Zealand 7.9              12.5 52.9           46.4 30.9            28.2
Spain 8.6              9.7 64.7           59.5 45.8            39.2
Italy 4.1              5.3 73.5           69.5 48               42.9
Sweden 16.8            19.5 25.8           24.9 12.3            10.3
France 19.1            21.9 38.8           37.3 20.1            17.5
Denmark 14.7            18.4 34              33.4 13.6            13.4
United States 3.2              2.8 77.5           78.2 62.8            61.3
Switzerland 4.3              8.5 44.5           45.1 28.3            28.8
Germany west 12.1            10.5 41.3           48.1 23.4            27.2
Germany east 54               53 15.7           16.5 9.4              8
Japan 10.6            8.7 13.2           16.4 4                 4.4
Northern Ireland 3.7              6.8 74.4           67.4 50               45.2
Portugal 1.9              4 84.8           72.9 60               54.4
Czech Republic 20.3            37.3 30.4           23.9 17.1            23.9
Hungary 12.8            15.3 51.6           42.4 31.1            23.2
Latvia 9.2              18.3 38.9           36.9 22.9            21.7
Poland 2.4              3.3 81             76.4 70.5            62.9
Russia 19.7            6.1 40.2           58.2 23.8            33.9
Slovakia 11.1            10.4 56.7           59.8 40.8            41.6
Slovenia 14.2            13.6 39.4           40.7 22.9            24.2
Chile 1.5              1.7 91.4           90.5 81.4            82.3
Cyprus 1.6              1.9 84.8           70.2 65               59
Philippines 0.7              0.8 82.3           92.5 79               82.7

(Note: Bold lines indicate an increase in atheism. First World countries are ordered starting with largest decrease in overall theists and progressing downward.)

A complaint I have about the new ISSP survey is that it failed to requery on opinion on the Bible in a large number of countries, including the United States (!), leaving us unable to reaffirm the Gallup record of a strong long-term decline in American biblical literalism. Nor did it repeat the question on regular attendance at religious services, another serious loss of longitudinal sampling that will hopefully be corrected in 2018.

Because there are only two samples, at each end of the 10 years, the trends for a given country must be taken with a dose of demographic salt, especially when the difference is not statistically significant. Even what looks like a major shift in a particular nation may be a statistical fluke. If there were no general overall pattern apparent, there would be little change to report.
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Is Atheism Increasing at the Expense of Theism?


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